Showing posts with label Joe Biden. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Joe Biden. Show all posts

Thursday, July 21, 2011

Here's Why Perry/Christie Will Beat Obama/Biden 305 to 233 In The 2012 Electoral College

Extra Extra - The 2012 Election Just Took Shape
Jul.22.2011. The Plastico.

People like maps - so lets get right on it.  First immediately below is the 2008 Map that a Republican has to re-paint:

How Does the Perry Team Change the Minds of 10 Million Americans?
First off, Obama absolutely dominated McCain down the stretch of the 08' election.  The map indicates a strong sweep in which Obama received 7 million more votes than any person in U.S. history.


 

How Does Perry Make that 2012 Map A Reality?
  1. Take back the easy reds.  Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia are red leaners that immediately swap 57 Electoral Votes.  Virginia will be tough because huge increases in federal spending have made the northern part of state a quasi DC extension of government money grubbers .  But while the DNC chose North Carolina for their convention they have no chance to hold it and it will prove a wasted opportunity to hold a crucial state such as Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, Wisconsin or even Nevada.  The RNC chose Tampa and that will in part help win Florida back (which is a must).  This leaves Perry down 236 to 302.
  2. Indiana. 11 key electoral votes and Obama won the state in 08 despite 9 straight previous GOP wins.  A key opportunity for Perry and a border state to Illinois. This leaves Perry down 247 to 291
  3. Nevada. Just 6 EC votes but it will be highly contended. Harry Reid won re-election against the tide last November.  However, Reid barely won against a Tea Party candidate that was rough on the eyes and on the campaign trail. Perry is a bit closer to Nevada's heart and he wont miss a chance to exploit the nations worst housing market. This leaves Perry down 253 to 285
  4. Iowa and Colorado.  Both difficult States to judge and both highly in play.  Colorado had gone red 9 of 10 elections prior to 08'.  Iowa is a true swing state but will be turned by the heavy primary work being done by Republicans who will have framed the '12 election into a shape that doesn't fit any picture of Barack Obama. This closes the gap to 270-268 in favor of B.O.
  5. CHAOS. Tim Russert will roll over in his grave for missing the chance to put this scenario on the chalk board (but the truth is that if it's a tie - Perry wins). Nebraska has a split vote policy and McCain won 4/5ths of the state in '08.  If Perry gets 5/5 of the red state... then the electoral college would be tied and The House of Representatives (As per the 12th Amendment) would elect Perry based on a likely GOP majority.
  6. The Road to 305.  Surely you must have noticed that New Jersey was still on the block. Enter Christie, who is finally able to hand NJ to the GOP.  Ohio, also still on the table, is more likely to recant their 08' votes than Indiana or Virginia and they will.  New Hampshire has been blue for 4 of the last 5 but Christie strikes again and his appeal should bring the 'Live Free or Die' state back in a year that will have long forgotten the hope and change of '08.  Don't think that scenerio is reasonable? It is and it is exactly the 2004 Bush re-election map minus NM and plus NJ and NH.
The final story of 2012
Obama and Perry will circle Obama's home state of Illinois.  But the fighting over Ohio, Indiana, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan is a battlefield of Political death for Obama.  The dirty secret is that a Perry/Christie team could lose all of those and still take the election 270-268 or 269-269 (hereafter dubbed the Perry tie).  New Mexico might simply be forgotten by both candidates and we left it unchanged from '08.  

Uh... OK-
We hear you, back that ass up J-Lo... How did we get here to begin with???

What happened to Romney vs. Bachman? 
The news stories of July '11 will be just a mere headache in 16 months.  Here is a short time-line on how it came to be:

August 2011: Rick Perry announces his candidacy and provides a certificate of live birth. Within days his poll numbers match or beat Romney and Bachman in Iowa. 

February 2011: Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada = Perry, Romney, Perry (or something close to that).  Romney has essentially led the Republican Primary for the past 3 years but not in a way that a health care busting primary season would prefer and thus...it's Perry time to tell a patriotic story about his job creating, housing market fixing, deficit reducing future. 

Why New Jersey Governor Chris Christie for VP?
Two main goals have to be met for the selection of a Vice President in a highly competitive effort to unseat a sitting President.  Can a candidate be found who can both excite the base and appeal to swing voters to win key states. Tim Pawlenty, Scott Brown, Dave Petraeus, Michelle Bachman, John Huntsman, and Mike Pence get about 50-75% of that formula - only Chris Christie is a slam dunk on both.  He wont accept a VP nomination if he thinks Perry can't win because he would smartly wait to run for President in 2016.  So if Christie joins, it's a curtain call for Obama.  Also, as Dick Cheney proved, you can be a little fat and ugly and still be VP. Christie would likely argue that he's not all that ugly.

Wont it be a liability to be 'another Governor from Texas'?
Perry has to win the Republican primary and then win the Electoral College.  If he could boast his same resume while being the governor of Michigan or Ohio then he would be the ideal Obama buster.  But being from Texas wont be the problem that Democrats will say it's going to be.  When Obama talks about the jobs that actually were created, Perry can claim that half of them (yes half) were created in Texas under his Governorship.  So Perry can take credit for a chunk of the good and yet still plaster Obama on stimulus, health care, debt, and the Californication of the country.

Being from Texas might make Democrats like him less, but all Perry needs is the strongest Republican base turnout since 2000 plus 53-55% of Independents and he will sweep his way to D.C.  By no metric will Obama increase his 08' voter turnout and enthusiasm from Democrats, Independents, and young voters. 

The Herman Cain effect might even help him narrow the 08' Black vote down from 96% to... well never-mind. 

One last note on the Texas subject - Perry and W are not the closest of friends; in fact, Perry severed that relationship some time ago with some criticism that did not set well with the Bushy clan but will indeed sit well with voters in 2012. 

What about this Secession thing?
True.  Rick Perry did have some uncomfortable statements a while back concerning a states right or lack thereof to secede.  However, 150 years after the Civil War this issue will probably fall flat with most voters as being simply irrelevant. 

And for those still holding out hope that Caribou Barbie will enter the race and save the world... keep hope alive and send in your tea party dollars where she asks you to send them (she will be a fundraiser and not a candidate).


Saturday, September 6, 2008

First Date Help: How To Guess Who She Is Voting For

This time of year scoring on the first date has an added caveat... you better be ahead of the game when the political questions come up. Here is all the help I can give you so that you don't end up at home alone at 9:30 PM scanning the latest free porn vids at (my favorite site) www.xvideos.com.

So here are some tips and things to think about on your date (sorry guys - this is a Los Angeles only guide for now):

1. Where did you pick her up?
A. Santa Monica/Venice (chick is a Communist nut job - probably vegan... scan carefully for shaved legs and pits before you get too far here)
B. Hollywood. (85% chance she's liberal - let her know that you invest in an abortion fund for impoverished teenage girls in Darfur)
C. West Hollywood. (Common mistake, this is a tranny. Turn back now)
D. Beverly Hills. (This Jewish/Iranian Princess may be culturally conservative and socially liberal; don't show your cards too early here)
E. Brentwood. (Another toss up; be on your best game)
F. Palisades or Malibu. (Save your $ and head over to Silver Reign on Bundy)
G. South Bay. These Girls don't have time to care about politics in between being at the beach all day and drinking all night. Also they all work in restaurants and bars.
H. The Valley. (With the price of gas this chick better be hot) 65% chance she's liberal.
I. Anywhere close to or East of the 5. (Seriously?)

2. Where is she from?
A. Midwest/South. Has family in the military...Ok this is a large percentage of the girls in LA and will require prudent effort. These chicks came here for much more than the Iowa cornfields but it doesn't mean that they are here to invest in Maxine Watters re-election campaign. Continue on to the next Q's.
B. East Coast. Either she is a wealthy elitist liberal or a wealthy elitist conservative; act rich.
C. LA. Unfortunately this tells us very little. But she will have a lot of friends in the area and at least 25% of them will be hotter than her. Try to forget that for now, you already got this far.
D. Orange County. Should be a no brainer conservative but remember if this is a human woman between 18-30... odds are still decent that she wants to go down on Obama.
E. SF/Bay Area. If you need help here - I really can't do anything for you.

3. Does she have fake boobs?
Ok, this is an important issue to deal with just prior to an election or not. The problem is that 50% of these girls do not want you to notice or talk about her funbags and the other 50% do. The answer will be clear after her 2nd drink within a one hour time frame. If you handle the situation properly it may not matter if she is Joe Biden's Wife or one of Palin's pregnant daughters.

The 3 Best Questions you can ask to make her show you the way:
(preface all q's with "This election is crazy...")

1.
Do you think McCain picked Palin because he thought she was the best VP he could find or was he just trying to snag some Hillary supporters?

2. If Obama loses the election - do you think that Hillary will be back in 2012?

3. McCain is an American Hero but does his age bring up some important questions that nobody really wants to talk about?

Once she is identified as a left winger:
1. I wish that there was a way to prevent every abortion..... but could you imagine in the year 2008, that we could possibly ever take away the right of a woman to make decisions about her own body.

2. I know that Obama does not have 50 years of experience in politics - but what the Republicans don't understand is that he is lighting a fire of hope for millions of Americans that have never wanted anything to do with politics.

And clothes will begin jumping off her body when you say:

3. Frankly, I have always been a Hillary supporter and I hope great things are ahead for her, but my vote for Barack Obama will be the easiest vote I have ever made in my life.

If she is conservative (don't worry she is just as likely to put out)
1. I'm amazed at the effort to attack Sarah Palin by the media and by Democrats who think that just because she is pro-life that somehow she does not represent women.

2. Can you imagine voting for someone just because they are young, attractive, and give good speeches. Why don't we just elect Zac Efron.

And clothes will begin jumping off her body when you say:

3. John McCain made the decision to accept more torture when all he had to do was put his love of country aside just for a moment. I don't know if Obama can pass that test, but I know McCain already did.

Stay tuned for future articles on How to pretend you practice her religion, How to convince her you are Brad Pitt's cousin, and How to convince your wife that the hot babysitter is the best choice.

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